Статьи

Энергетическая программа Дании

4 Апр 2012

Новое правительство Дании, возглавляемое социал-демократами, обнародовало свой план развития энергетики страны. Стратегическая установка о превращении Дании к 2050 году в страну полностью независимую от невозобновляемых источников энергии осталась неизменной, однако поменялись промежуточные цели и некоторые приоритеты.

Принято решение о том, что к 2020 году половина электроэнергии, потребляемой в стране, должна производиться с помощью энергии ветра. Это предполагает поддержку правительства в расширении парка наземных и офшорных ветро-энергетических установок (ВЭУ), а также создании нового гигантского офшорного ветропарка суммарной мощностью 600 MW.

К 2035 году всё электро- и теплоснабжение страны должно обеспечиваться за счет альтернативных источников энергии. В настоящее время 40% электроэнергии и 20% тепловой энергии производится с использованием угля. Тем не менее, к 2030 году предполагается полностью прекратить использование угля на датских электростанциях, причем уже к 2020 году потребление угля должно быть снижено на 65%. Уголь предполагается заменить биомассой, значительную часть которой уже в настоящее время составляют древесные пеллеты. Данное решение правительства вызвало оживленные споры среди экспертов, так как очевидно, что уже в 2016 году импорт древесных пеллет придется увеличить как минимум на 1 млн. т, а к 2020 году их придется завозить не только из стран Балтии, но и из Северной Америки.

На поддержку дальнейшего развития ветроэнергетики и переход к использованию биомассы вместо угля, Правительство Дании предполагает выделить 6,7 млрд. крон (1,21 млрд. долл.).

Кроме того, предполагается настолько повысить энергоэффективность и энергосбережение на всех уровнях, чтобы экономия у конечных потребителей к 2020 году составила 6,9 млрд. крон (1,25 млрд. долл.).

Правительство Дании приняло решение отказаться от планов поддержки массированного производства биоэтанола второго поколения (из отходов сельского хозяйства, в первую очередь, соломы), объясняя это тем, что его высокая стоимость не соответствует экономической целесообразности. В отличие от других западных стран, Дания в свое время отказалась от производства биоэтанола первого поколения (из сельскохозяйственного сырья). Для производства биоэтанола второго поколения датские компании «Новозаймс» (Novozymes) и «Даниско» (Danisco) разработали и успешно внедрили в производство специальные энзимы, способные расщеплять солому для выработки биоэтанола. Их технологии получили признание во всем мире и предполагалось, что они станут одной из составных частей ускоренного развития датского экспорта «зеленых» технологий и создания, тем самым, новых рабочих мест в стране. © Торгпредство России в Дании, декабрь 2011 г.

Энзимы компаний «Новозаймс» и «Даниско» уже в настоящее время весьма востребованы в США и Китае, и эти компании будут наращивать производство в этих странах.

Однако спорное решение нового датского кабинета нанесет серьезный ущерб и датским фермерам. Дело в том, что они в настоящее время поставляют до 1,5 млн. т соломы в год в качестве дополнительного топлива электростанциям, работающим на угле. Электростанции технологически могут использовать солому только совместно с углем, поэтому при отказе от угля, электростанции не смогут использовать и солому. Наряду с отказом от расширения производства биоэтанола, неминуемо возникнет ситуация, когда солома, как в незапамятные времена, будет гнить на полях, а фермеры полностью лишаться части дополнительных доходов.

Программа развития энергетики Дании, вызвавшая ожесточенные споры, принята, однако инструменты её реализации, в том числе финансовые, ещё не определены.

В то время как датские политики называют «зеленые» технологии новым флагманом развития датского экспорта, официальная статистика говорит о прямом сокращении доли энергетических оборудования и технологий в общем товарном экспорте страны за 2010 год.

В последнем докладе Агентства по энергетике (Energistyrelsen) Министерства климата и энергетики Дании говорится, что в 2010 году при значительном росте товарного экспорта, датский экспорт «зеленых» технологий сократился почти на 11% до 52,2 млрд. крон (9,25 млрд. долл.). Таким образом, доля экспорта «зеленых» технологий от общего товарного экспорта в 2010 году снизилась до 9,5% (в 2009 году этот показатель составил 11,7%).

Датский экспорт «зеленых» технологий в 2005 – 2010 гг.

(млрд. крон) годы

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

Суммарный товарный экспорт

510

550

561

593

501

548

Экспорт энергооборудования и технологий

42,4

48,4

55,0

67,5

58,5

52,2

Доля «зеленого» экспорта в тов. экспорте (%)

8,3

8,8

9,8

11,4

11,7

9,5

Торговое представительство России в Дании

декабрь, 2011


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